Bhaskar Data Story: Vaccination completes 6 months in the country, at the current pace, every adult cannot be vaccinated by the end of the year

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27 minutes agoAuthor: Jaidev Singh

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The introduction of corona vaccine started in the country from 16 January. The vaccination campaign has completed 6 months today. So far, more than 39 crore vaccine doses have been given in the country. More than 31 crore people were given at least one dose of the vaccine. At the same time, about 8 crore people have been fully vaccinated.

By December, the country’s population above 18 years of age will be fully vaccinated. Such is the claim of NK Arora, head of the National Expert Group on Vaccine Administration. However, for this, they also keep the condition of increasing the speed of vaccine supply in the coming months.

If vaccination continues at the current pace, then by when will we meet this target? In which states will vaccination be completed first? Which states are currently lagging behind in terms of population? Will vaccination have any effect on the third wave as well? What do data from around the world say on this? Let’s understand…

If vaccination continues at the current pace, then by when will we meet this target?

On July 15, it has been 180 days since the vaccination started in the country. In the last 179 days, 31,35,29,502 people have been given at least one dose of the vaccine. That is, on an average, more than 17.5 lakh people got the vaccine every day. This is about 23% of the current population. If this pace continues, then it will take time till the beginning of March 2023 for every citizen of the country to apply at least one dose of the vaccine.

At the same time, if we look at it according to the adult population of the country, then about 33.5% of the population has been given a dose of the vaccine. If this pace continues, then by July 2022, the entire adult population of the country will get at least one dose of the vaccine.

Although the vaccination gained momentum in the end of June, but now once again this pace is decreasing. Despite this, the current rate of vaccination is higher than the average till now.

At present, 37.8 lakh doses are being administered daily on an average of seven days. If this rate of vaccination continues, then in the next 165 days the adult population of the country will get at least one dose of the vaccine. That is, by the end of December, the entire adult population of the country would have been given at least one dose of the vaccine.

Now the question is, if there is vaccination at the current rate, then by when will the adult population of the country be fully vaccinated. So the answer is it will take about 12 months. That is, by July 2022, India’s adult population will be fully vaccinated.

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Now you will say that the government is talking about vaccinating the entire adult population by the end of the year. How will this happen? So the answer is that if 88.5 lakh doses are administered daily from today itself, then by the end of December, the adult population of about 94 crores of the country will be fully vaccinated.

Which states have the highest number of people vaccinated so far?

So far, there are eight states and union territories where 55% or more of the population has been given at least one dose of the vaccine. Sikkim and Ladakh top it. In both cases, about 93% of the adult population has been given at least one dose of the vaccine. Apart from these, Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Tripura, Goa, Andaman-Nicobar and Himachal Pradesh have also given at least one dose to more than 55% of the adult population. Delhi will also join this list in the coming day or two.

Which states are currently lagging behind in terms of population?

Uttar Pradesh is the largest state in the country in terms of population. So far 3.88 crore vaccine doses have been given here, but Uttar Pradesh is the state which has the least population covered in vaccination. So far, only 22% of the population has been given at least one dose of the vaccine. At the same time, only 4% of the state’s population is such that it has been fully vaccinated.

Apart from Uttar Pradesh, Bihar is the only state where less than 25% of the population has been vaccinated. A dose of vaccine has been given to about 23% of the population here. At the same time, only 4% of the state’s population is fully vaccinated.

Will vaccination have any effect on the third wave as well?

There is constant talk about the third wave in the country. If there is rapid vaccination, the risk of third wave can be reduced. Figures for Europe and America indicate so. For example, in the UK for some time now, cases have increased rapidly due to the delta variant. Even after this, the need for hospitalization of people is decreasing. Here more than 50% of the population has been vaccinated. Similarly, the need to admit people to the ICU is also very less. At the same time, even after increasing the corona case due to more vaccination, the deaths here are much less than before. That is, the faster we do the vaccination, the more we can reduce the risk of the third wave.

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